Hope this is a typo… -Number of OCGT’s and GT’s Utilised at peak: 24
BUT - seems the system is a “little” tight…
I also saw this and wondered. At the same time I remember there being diesel budget after winter last year which we blew through in a few weeks / months and went straight back into our regularly scheduled loadshedding.
A part of me is wondering if this is the same where we’d rather rely on the hydro plants (with enough spare capacity during the day to pump back up), the “virtual power stations” where high demand customers are told to reduce during peak and the OCGT (at an extreme cost, but is ‘budgeted’ for) to try and stay on stage 0 and keeping fingers crossed we make it through until the next financial year.
Do we have diesel stock info? no surprises - but very little info on these and also the daily usage from Ekskaam…
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What popped to my mind? The ANC got their “election funding” …
Probably not. I know they publish the R-value of used diesel vs budget every now and then.
Look, I’m optimistic here.
With Kusile coming back online (even though it’s polluting like crazy) it being summer and there being generally less demand and then the crazy amount of panels that’s gone up I think we’re generally OK in the daytime with only the need for emergency reserves during the evening peak. But throw in a couple more unplanned breakdowns and we’re back at it.
I also feel that the fact that we’ve had so much loadshedding and now the solar incentive we’re a little bit different to the rest of the world in that homes in general have batteries along with their solar panels, so I think / hope that evening peak is also coming down slightly. But I also know that a lot of people generally only size their batteries for loadshedding with the plan of adding more later, but a part of me feels that the old duck curve won’t be as bad here, but only time will tell.
What pops into my mind…why do we still need those…we are being told everything is improving for the better
In fact private citizens will most likely install more power as what those ships can supply, by the time them ships are up and running
Indeed! But there’s also a SA economy out there that needs power…
Someone, somewhere has been sucking on his thumb to much, or maybe sucking on summing else???
SuckGroetnis
No way the EC gained 100MW in 1 month… never…
Not defending them numbers, but remember clouds could cause that kinda behaviour. Those numbers the same for many months, across seasons, hahahaha 
Groetnis
If you need this kind of headline, the trust deficit or ‘believeability’ of eskom is huge 
Takeaway from this article…
In the past week it’s been a different a story, with a large reliance on burning diesel since Monday. According to Eskom data, it has run its OCGTs since 5am on Tuesday consistently until Friday night (and likely beyond, but this data is not yet available).
Yeah plenty of tankers in bay here…still
Quite a few huge mansions in the rural areas, some money being spent there. The building there is a sight to behold
This part in that article …
I cannot “bring die kloutjie tot by die oor” … “daytime”.
Nor that whilst the “eyes of the world” were focussed on SA, we had no LS.
The moment the World Cup is over, stage 2, hours later, stage 3.
I read the article about why it did not happen … I read coincidence upon coincidence that we did not have LS during the World Cup.
Following on my previous post, this sums it up quite “eloquently” …
We had no LS during the World Cup because the world was looking at SA and the ANC could not “afford” to have a winning team with LS making headlines.
Hence the OCGTs running flatout during this time … me suspects.
Me agrees…optics is important…nothing to see here
There is a note below, saying a big uptick would be because they didn’t have enough clear sunny/cloudy days to get a good measurement. So the update means “better estimate”, not “more stuff installed” 
How readily people believe a “just so” story also plays a role. A few years ago people literally believed (some of them may still be around) that Eskom is faking the shortages to ask for increases.
We need to look at facts. Always.
Problem though is when the ANC is involved, we don’t have their facts, what they do makes no sense ito facts, so maybe we simply cannot rely on facts to explain things where the ANC is directly involved.
Then you have to rely on common sense. Unfortunately, a sense of how quickly power stations speed up or slow down, or how difficult (or not) it would be to hide a conspiracy of stations not running (you know, journalists have been known to drive by and take pictures of smoke stacks to check up on them)… unfortunately that sense is not very widespread.
When you are unsure of the truth, go with the boring explanation. As a rule, people rarely put in the effort to make it exciting.